Mike Zarowny Real Estate

High Real Estate Demand

Canada’s housing crisis continues to escalate, driven by a severe shortage of homes and skyrocketing real estate prices. Addressing this issue requires a multifaceted approach, with experts proposing 14 key strategies to help the next federal government tackle affordability challenges and increase housing supply.

One major solution involves expanding the construction of affordable housing through financial incentives for developers and policy reforms that streamline the approval process. Adjusting zoning regulations to allow for higher-density developments is also considered crucial in maximizing available land. Additionally, strengthening collaboration between federal, provincial, and municipal governments can help accelerate housing projects and improve urban infrastructure.

Beyond construction, other proposed measures focus on stabilizing real estate prices by curbing speculative investment and implementing stronger tenant protections. Expanding public transportation networks is another vital strategy, as improved transit access can make more areas viable for housing development.

With demand continuing to outpace supply, these strategies provide a potential roadmap for policymakers to create long-term solutions. By prioritizing affordability, increasing housing starts, and ensuring sustainable urban growth, the next federal government has an opportunity to make meaningful progress in solving Canada’s housing crisis.

Read More at the Herald

Some information has been gathered, and opinion formed from: https://calgaryherald.com/opinion/columnists/opinion-14-strategies-for-the-next-federal-government-to-solve-the-housing-crisis

Calgary Real Estate Skyline

The potential effects of blanket rezoning on Calgary real estate prices are multi-faceted. These impacts will depend on the scale of rezoning, how it’s implemented, and the broader economic conditions in Calgary.


1. Increased Supply of Housing and Impact on Prices

  • Potential to Lower Calgary Real Estate Prices: One of the primary goals of blanket rezoning is to increase the overall supply of housing, which could significantly affect Calgary real estate prices. By allowing for higher-density development (e.g., more multi-family units or higher-rise buildings), it can create a larger supply of homes, which could help ease price pressures.
    When housing supply rises significantly, it generally leads to a decrease in prices, especially in areas that have seen limited development historically. If successful, blanket rezoning could prevent further escalation in the market, making housing more accessible for first-time homebuyers and easing the affordability crisis.
  • Price Stabilization: Even if real estate prices don’t immediately drop, increased housing supply could stabilize the market. In high-demand areas where limited housing is available, adding density could prevent prices from soaring. This would be beneficial for potential homeowners, as well as for renters in the city who might otherwise face steep rent hikes due to a lack of housing options.

2. Gentrification Risk and Rising Prices in Some Areas

  • Potential for Gentrification and Higher Prices: While blanket rezoning can lower prices in some neighborhoods, it can also contribute to gentrification in certain areas. If zoning changes encourage more upscale developments—such as luxury condos, high-end apartments, and mixed-use commercial spaces—it could drive prices up in those neighborhoods.
    For example, neighborhoods that see an influx of trendy businesses or new high-density residential developments might become more desirable, attracting wealthier buyers or investors. As these areas improve, the overall prices could rise, potentially pushing long-standing residents out of their homes.
  • Price Appreciation in High-Demand Areas: High-density development, particularly in well-connected or central areas of Calgary, could drive up the price of land and properties. Developers may target areas near transit hubs, popular districts, or close to the downtown core, where higher-density zoning allows for greater return on investment. This could result in rapid price appreciation in those parts of the city, contributing to an increase in real estate values in some neighborhoods.

3. Changing Demand Dynamics Across Neighborhoods

  • Shifting Interest Toward Suburbs or Less-Developed Areas: Blanket rezoning may lead to a shift in where people want to live within Calgary. Areas that were previously underdeveloped or overlooked could see an uptick in demand, as developers begin to target these locations for higher-density residential projects. This may result in rising prices in parts of the city that had previously been more affordable or underdeveloped.
  • Impact on Suburban Real Estate: By focusing development within existing urban boundaries, blanket rezoning could reduce the need for suburban sprawl. With fewer people moving outward into the suburbs, prices in suburban areas might stabilize or even decrease, as demand for housing within Calgary’s core increases. This shift could lead to greater pressure on the city center.

4. Impact on Rental Market and Real Estate Investors

  • Rental Market Effects: The rental market could see significant changes as well. With more apartment complexes, multi-family homes, and mixed-use buildings being allowed, there could be an increase in the availability of rental units. This increase in supply could help keep rental prices in check, potentially alleviating upward pressure on real estate values.
    However, if blanket rezoning leads to a rush of new luxury rental units, it might push average rents higher, which in turn could elevate property prices by increasing demand for premium properties.
  • Opportunities for Investors: For real estate investors, blanket rezoning could create new opportunities. Developers may be drawn to areas with relaxed zoning laws that enable higher-density projects, which could lead to rising demand and higher property prices. Investors might benefit from buying properties in neighborhoods that are poised for redevelopment, especially if rezoning triggers an influx of new businesses and higher-end residential projects.

5. Long-Term Price Effects on Calgary Real Estate

  • Sustained Growth in Calgary Real Estate: Over time, the impact on real estate prices will depend on how well the city handles the integration of new developments. If the city can balance new density with strong infrastructure investments, the long-term price effects could be positive for the market.
    On the other hand, if the new developments lead to a mismatch between housing supply and city services (such as schools, transportation, and utilities), real estate prices could become volatile, with some areas experiencing stagnation or declines while others see rapid growth.
  • Affordable Housing Measures: If the city incorporates inclusionary zoning or other affordable housing measures as part of the blanket rezoning, this could help ensure that a portion of new developments remains affordable. By mandating that a certain percentage of new housing projects be reserved for low- or moderate-income families, the city could help prevent the rapid escalation of real estate prices while still addressing the housing supply issue.

Conclusion

In Calgary, blanket rezoning could have a mixed impact on real estate prices, depending on how the zoning changes are applied and the broader market dynamics. While it could help lower prices by increasing the supply of new homes and rental units, it also carries the risk of driving up prices in desirable neighborhoods due to gentrification. Suburban areas may see shifts in demand, potentially lowering prices outside the city’s core, while inner-city developments could drive up land values.

If implemented with strategic planning—such as accompanying infrastructure improvements and affordable housing initiatives—blanket rezoning could help Calgary address its housing affordability crisis without excessively inflating real estate prices in the process.

 

Some information has been gathered, and opinion formed from: https://calgaryherald.com/news/politics/calgary-city-council-rezoning-hearing-seven-days

Calgary New Home Construction

 

Calgary’s construction industry is experiencing record housing starts, despite concerns about labor shortages. In January, nearly 2,000 homes were built, marking a 51% increase from the same month last year. Single-detached homes rose by 61%, while other types of housing grew by 48%. However, the city’s population growth has caused demand to remain much higher than the supply of homes, meaning Calgary is still not meeting the full demand for housing.

Construction activity reached an all-time high in 2023, driven by migration to the city. Though Calgary is seeing an increase in housing starts, demand continues to outpace supply. In 2024, the city is projected to hit over 25,000 housing starts, compared to about 17,300 homes started in 2023.

Calgary has been able to manage these challenges better than other cities in Canada, largely because it has more available land. Still, construction timelines have been extended, and the labor shortage continues to make building slower. The federal government has pledged $228 million to speed up the creation of more housing units, aiming to build over 6,800 homes in the next three years and 35,000 homes in the next decade. Despite these efforts, Calgary still faces a significant housing shortage, with experts noting that Canada needs 3.5 million more homes by 2030 to improve affordability.

Adapted from recently featured information in a Calgary Herald article highlights what we all feel is happening when shopping for a new home in Calgary or Okotoks. 

 

Some information has been gathered, and opinion formed from: https://calgaryherald.com/business/local-business/calgary-housing-starts-record-highs-demand-higher

Great Market For Sellers in Calgary Has Had an Impact on Students

A record lack of housing and ballooning rent costs have rising numbers of University of Calgary students wondering if they’ll have lodging in the coming academic year, say their advocates. Read More

Some information has been gathered, and opinion formed from: https://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/living-in-cars-u-of-c-students-face-worsening-housing-shortage

Understanding Real Estate Trends in Calgary – Sale Price to List Price Ratio

In the past 2 years Calgary has transitioned from a buyer’s market to a seller’s market. In the past 8 months some market segments in Calgary have homes selling over list price regularly. As a Realtor® in Calgary and Okotoks I am interested in explaining the things my clients experience in the buying and selling process through Calgary Real Estate Statistics. Below I unpack the trend of buyers paying over list price and examine it further.

This chart displays the averaged data for the entire single family real estate market in SE Calgary. You will note that in December 2021 the average single family home began selling at full asking price. The peak of the properties that sold over list price happened shortly after in February and has stabilized somewhat since. Some price ranges experienced this change earlier and have seen larger swings than the chart indicates. This does however confirm that this segment as a whole was the first to move deep into sellers market territory based on Calgary Real Estate Statistics. This is also the market segment that has seen the most aggressive competition as displayed by the high sold to list price ratio.

Just behind the single family market was the Townhouse market. Anyone in the market to buy a new townhouse in SE Calgary these days can attest to the fact that this market is very competitive at the moment. Calgary Real Estate Statistics for this market segment also show strong competition.

Although the apartment segment is not a competitive warzone at the moment, it has seen a significant recovery from the depths of the oversupply conditions over the past few years.

Combined Chart For Comparison

This chart displays the overlay of these three market segments. Looking at this you can see how the first market segment to that began selling over list price was Single Family Detached, followed by Townhouse. The apartment segment is still recovering from its years-long oversupply, but that line looks like it is getting close to the 1.0 mark now. This indicates a positive trend in the Calgary Real Estate Statistics across different property types.

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